Thursday, 16 August 2012

Season Preview 2012/13


"I wanted a gold medal for each of my two girls on the way. They could come any day now!"

Mo Farah, speaking after becoming the first Briton to win both the 10,000 metre and 5,000 metre events.

"My mother used to tell us in the mornings 'Carl put on your shoes, Oscar you put on your prosthetic legs...So I grew up not really thinking I had a disability. I grew up thinking I had different shoes."

South African runner Oscar 'Blade Runner' Pistorius, who runs on carbon fibre prosthetic blades, talking about growing up playing sports with brother Carl.

"When baby kicks, I will breathe in and breathe out and try to calm myself down and talk to baby: 'Behave yourself and help mummy to shoot!"

Malaysia's Nur Suryani Mohamed Taibi talking about the experience of performing in the 10m air rifle qualifying event whilst eight months pregnant.


...

These are just a few of the more memorable quotes from this summers Olympic Games, which I'm sure you agree were a great triumph for the city of London and the nation as a whole. My wish for the 2012/13 season? That the majority of professional footballers in this country perform with a similar amount of commitment and humility demonstrated by their Olympic counterparts. If this hope became a reality, then the forthcoming campaign certainly would be one worth cherishing.



Arsenal

Last season: Premier League 3rd Top scorer Robin van Persie (30) FA Cup Fifth Round League Cup QF Champions League Round of 16

Another year, another trophy draught for the Gunners. After enduring their worst start to a season since 1958 (they lost four of their opening seven matches, including an 8-2 drubbing at Old Trafford), Arsene Wenger managed to turn things around and guide his team to a comfortable third-placed finish. That means that Arsenal will once again be competing in the Champions League this term and Wenger seems keen to assemble a squad that can improve on the efforts of last term, when a 4-0 first leg deficit to AC Milan proved too much to overcome in the second leg. In come German international Lukas Podolski, Ligue 1 joint top scorer Olivier Giroud and Euro 2012 winner Santi Cazorla to try and add more potency to a side that relied too heavily on talisman Robin van Persie throughout last season. The Dutch striker is the latest Gunner to become part of a long-running transfer saga, which seem to have been be part and parcel of Arsenal's pre-season preparations in recent years, with the sales of captain Francesc Fabregas and Samir Nasri this time last year being a significant contributor to the Gunners slow start. With van Persie's move to Manchester United on the verge of being completed at the time of writing, Wenger will hope that his side can cope in his absence.
Verdict: With van Persie, a title challenge was not out of the question. Without the Dutchman, a top four finish is likely to be the height of supporters expectations. A midfield containing the impressive Alex Song, a returning Jack Wilshere and Cazorla should be enough to fulfil that ambition. 4th

Aston Villa

Last season: Premier League 16th Top scorer Darren Bent (9) FA Cup Fourth Round League Cup Third Round

Last season was one of the most miserable at Villa Park in recent memory, with manager Alex McLeish battling against discontent at his appointment from day one. As a former Birmingham City manager, Big 'Eck was always unlikely to be received well by the claret and blue faithful, but in the end it was his unwavering commitment to dour football that was his undoing. A final tally of 38 points (Villa's lowest in 25 years) and a mere seven victories was enough to convince owner Randy Lerner that a change was needed. Step forth Paul Lambert...

 

Having enjoyed great success in his first outing as a Premier League manager last season, the Scot has been charged with rejuvenating the fortunes of a club that has always had the potential to challenge in the upper echelons of the table, and yet has never managed to (consistently) do so. The former midfielder was quick to address the need to shake up Villa's stagnant squad, with four new recruits arriving and established first team players such as James Collins moved on. This represents a positive move by Lambert to re-energise a squad that has looked fallible for some time now and the main aim will now be to get Villa playing the attacking 4-4-2 formation that served Norwich so well last term. Last season's top scorer Darren Bent is likely to thrive in such a system and Villa will hope he can shake off a disappointing 2011-12. Similar aspirations will be held for Charles N'Zogbia, who was consistent only in frustrating the claret and blue faithful in his debut season with the club. With the emphasis of Villa's play likely to be on the flanks, the Frenchman should be able to make a bigger contribution this time around.  

Verdict: Hopes will be high at Villa Park this term, but a season of transition is likely to await as Lambert seeks to stamp his authority on a squad that has become too familiar with one another. However, many of last season's under-performers are likely to benefit from a change in playing style and with a host of promising young players ready to challenge for a first team place, an improvement on last year should be achieved with ease. 9th

Chelsea

Last season: Premier League 6th Top scorer Frank Lampard/Daniel Sturridge (11) FA Cup Winners League Cup QF Champions League Winners

As euphoric as Chelsea's end to the season was, supporters at Stamford Bridge will be hoping for a more consistent campaign from the boys in blue this term. Whether they get it is likely to depend on the patience of the club's infamous owner, Roman Abramovich. After flirting throughout the close season with Pep Guardiola, the Russian oligarch appointed last year's caretaker Roberto Di Matteo on a permanent deal, a move that appeased supporters of the club and neutrals alike. However, one only has to look at the travails endured by the Blues previous manager, Andre Villas-Boas, to know that things may not all be plain sailing for last year's hero.




First of all, the Italian will have to strike a balance between last season's squad and a flurry of high-profile arrivals, the most heralded of these being Belgian superstar Eden Hazard. Big things are expected of the £32 million arrival from Lille, and Di Matteo will be expected to find a system that gets the best out of Chelsea's marquee summer signing. With Didier Drogba also allowed to depart the club to embark on a Chinese adventure, more will be expected of Fernando Torres. Whilst the Spaniard enjoyed a strong end to the season and a positive Euro 2012, he will have to start repaying his £50 million transfer fee in goals if Chelsea are to mount a title challenge this year. That being said, the pressure on Di Matteo is certain to be much greater as he seeks to remedy the club's appalling league form in 2011/12, when they recorded their worst league campaign under Abramovich's owners and also conceded a gargantuan 17 goals in 10 league games against their top five rivals. Stark improvements will need to be made if Abramovich's trigger finger is to be abated...

Verdict: As noted before, much depends on how much time will be afforded to Di Matteo, though the Italian will be a little bit wiser after his experience at West Bromwich Albion. The new players may take time to settle into the 4-2-3-1 that was deployed to great success last year whilst Sunday's defeat in the Community Shield suggests Chelsea remain suspect defensively. 3rd

Everton

Last season: Premier League 7th Top scorer Nikica Jelavic (9) FA Cup SF League Cup Fourth Round

Many, including yours truly, speculated about the future of Everton manager David Moyes in the close but as the season approaches it appears that chairman Bill Kenwright has once again managed to keep hold of the vital clog in the clubs engine. There is no doubt that Moyes is the glue that holds Everton together as he continues to mount a challenge against the 'big boys' of the Premier League year after year. How much longer Kenwright is able to keep hold of his manager is another question altogether, with the club continuing to attract the investment they need to allow them to push on to the next level.


It is ironic then that a piece of investment from last term could well hold the key to Everton's chances of success this year. The signing of Croatian striker Nikica Jelavic rejuvenated a campaign that had begun poorly, with the Toffees recording only three wins in their first ten games. A nine game unbeaten run brought the season to a close and was instrumental in aiding Everton to only their second finish above Liverpool in 25 years. Moyes has since moved to acquire Jelavic's former strike partner at Rangers, Steven Naismith, in the hope that he can recapture the form that saw him score nine goals in eleven games whilst playing alongside Jelavic for the Gers. The departure of Jack Rodwell to Manchester City is a blow, but considering the midfielder's torrid injury record and a significant transfer fee it appears to be a deal that suits Everton down to the ground.

Verdict: If Moyes can find a solution to the club's annual poor start to the season, as well as reinvest some of the Rodwell money, then further success in likely to be enjoyed in the blue half of Merseyside. With Steven Pienaar signing a permanent deal and Leighton Baines and Marouane Fellaini set to stay at the club, the Toffees should be able to push for a top six berth this year, though much will depend on how they navigate a set of difficult early-season fixtures. 7th

Fulham 

Last season: Premier League 9th Top scorer Clint Dempsey (17) FA Cup Fourth Round League Cup Third Round Europa League Group Stage

Martin Jol enjoyed a successful return to English football last season, guiding Fulham to their highest league finish in eight seasons. However, he begins this season with a team that some would argue has been weakened by the decision to allow a number of senior players to seek pastures new. Captain Danny Murphy is the highest profile departure, with many supporters at Craven Cottage baffled by the club's willingness to allow a player with clear Premier League pedigree to leave. Pavel Pogbrenyak spurned the Cottagers to sign for Reading whereas Andy Johnson and Bobby Zamora have left for QPR, the latter moving in the January transfer window. That means that Fulham will begin the season without three of their five top scorers from last term, meaning much will be expected of new signings Mladen Petric and Hugo Rodallega. That being said, Fulham have so far managed to keep hold of Clint Dempsey, which is perhaps the most significant bit of transfer activity that is likely to happen at the club all summer. The American was involved (scored or assisted) 54% of Fulham's Premier League goals last term, a figure that is unsurprisingly a league high. Moussa Dembele also remains at the club for the time being, as do the core of Fulham's solid back four, though right back remains an area of concern for Jol.

Verdict: Will benefit from not having to play eight Europa League qualifiers by the end of August as they did last year, but unlikely to match the impressive final position of last season. Much depends on whether Dempsey and Dembele stay at the club beyond the transfer window, as they are what make Fulham tick. If they go, a season of struggle may be ahead. 13th

Liverpool

Last season: Premier League 8th Top scorer Luis Suarez (11) FA Cup Runners-up League Cup Winners

Last season was a strange one for Liverpool...the Reds lifted the Carling Cup and were unlucky not to enjoy similar success in the FA Cup, yet they endured their worst league campaign since relegation in 1954. This correlated with a lowest points haul since the advent of three points for a win and a disastrous 14 games lost, with only 6 won at Anfield. These statistics were presumably too much for owners FSG, who dispensed with the iconic Kenny Dalglish before undergoing a rather farcical search for a new manager in which they attempted to interview numerous candidates. It was the nature of this selection process that saw Brendan Rodgers initially reject the club's advances, before he agreed to make the move from Swansea after he was told he was the club's preferred candidate. So, what awaits the new man at the helm this season?





First and foremost, Rodgers will have to try and implement his philosophy of possession-based football, with the core idea being to build attacks from defence. This should not be beyond most of Liverpool's key performers from last term, with centre back pairing Martin Skrtel and Daniel Agger more than capable with the ball at their feet. The fit-again Lucas Leiva is also likely to resume his role as the team's anchorman, a position he performed admirably in last term until injury curtailed his season. Steven Gerrard showed at Euro 2012 that he still has plenty left in the tank, though Rodgers will be considered his skipper managed only 12 starts in the 2011/12 campaign. However, the new manager will have to adjust the system he deployed at Swansea if he wants to re-establish Liverpool in the top six this term. The Swans philosophy made them difficult to beat, but they were often guilty of not turning their possession into goals. Considering Liverpool managed only 47 in 38 games last term may point to a season of transition under Rodgers rather than an immediate return to the upper reaches of the division.

Verdict: Rodgers will benefit from being able to build on an appalling league campaign under Dalglish, but much depends on how much time is afforded to him by John W Henry & co. Signing Joe Allen and getting dressing room lieutenants Carragher and Gerrard onside should mean that he is afforded ample time to implement his methods on a squad that underperformed badly last year. 6th

Manchester City

Last season: Premier League Winners Top scorer Sergio Aguero (23) FA Cup Third Round League Cup SF Champions League Group Stage

Regardless of how well this season pans out for Man City, it is unlikely that it will top the euphoric ending to last season, when the last kick of the game against QPR ensured them of a first league title in 44 years, a title that also deprived their neighbours. The challenge now for Roberto Mancini is to prove that City are ready to establish themselves as the divisions top side, something that their rivals from down the road are unlikely to allow to happen easily.



However, most will favour City in any Manchester based tussle for the title, and not just because of their seemingly unlimited amounts of cash. They boasted the meanest defence in the league last year (conceding only 29 goals) and also boast an embarrassment of riches in attack...a certain Carlos Tevez being the equivalent to a new signing after he ended the four month exile that cast a shadow over his 2011/12 season. The Community Shield victory over Chelsea demonstrated that City can score crucial goals in a fashion eerily reminiscent of Manchester United at their best, with big-game players littered throughout their team. However, there is a feeling amongst some that all is not well at the Etihad behind the scenes, with Mancini having aimed a few barbed comments at chief executive Brian Marwood over the club's surprising lack of transfer activity this summer. A tactical switch to 3-5-2 promises much but could also be City's undoing defensively if they fail to add significantly better offerings in reserve than the current alternative of Stefan Savic. They may also rue their inability to land a certain Arsenal striker, especially now he seems destined to wear the red jersey of their rivals.

Verdict: A second championship will certainly not be a case of plain sailing for City, and talk of long-term dominance of the division is premature. The foundations are there though, and City start the season justifiably as favourites. Providing they can add to their squad before the end of the window (and you suspect they will) then they should be capable of pipping their rivals to the post once again. 1st

Manchester United

Last season: Premier League Runners-up Top scorer Wayne Rooney (27) FA Cup Fourth Round League Cup QF Champions League Group stage

Nobody will have been hurt by the end to last season than Sir Alex Ferguson, who saw the title slip from his hands in the cruelest of circumstances. Worse still is that the United manager will know that he was partly responsible for his team's failings last terms. The negative set up deployed in the crucial away fixture against City resulted in defeat, whilst the club conceded far too many goals at Old Trafford (19 in total, 3 of which were scored by relegated Blackburn). However, if anyone is better suited than Fergie to the challenge of toppling the 'noisy neighbours' then I've not heard of him. The 70 year old will be more determined than anybody to reclaim the Premier League title, pointing to a potentially fascinating battle of cat and mouse at the zenith of the table.




Ferguson appears keen to once again place his trust in youth for the foreseeable future, with the club's transfer activity largely aimed at securing players who can guide the team towards long-term success. Whilst this is an admirable policy, it arguably leaves United lacking in the sort of big-game players that City, and indeed Chelsea, can call upon. So far this summer Japanese schemer Shinji Kagawa has arrived to add creativity to a midfield that under-performed last term, whilst youngster Nick Powell has been acquired from Crewe. The return to fitness of Tom Cleverely also means United shouldn't be as reliable on 37 year old Paul Scholes as they were in the second half of last season, when the midfielder came out of retirement to sign a short-term deal with the club. Wayne Rooney will spearhead the term but will be looking from more support from striking colleagues Javier Hernandez (scorer of 10 goals last term) and Danny Welbeck (9). Kagawa should aid United in this respect, as the former Borussia Dortmund playmaker likes to play high up the field, often behind the main striker. Having the excellent Antonio Valencia fit for a full season will also be of considerable benefit.

Verdict: Should be stronger than last term, with key players such as Vidic and Valencia available from the off, whilst Kagawa will add another dimension to their attacking axis. If they land van Persie they will have a goalscorer of the calibre needed to support Rooney, if they don't they'll be relying on Hernandez to rediscover the form of his debut season. Defensive concerns may ultimately let them down. 2nd

Newcastle United

Last season: Premier League 5th Top scorer Demba Ba (16) FA Cup Fourth Round League Cup Fourth Round

The undoubted success story of last season, Newcastle United are now charged with the task of satisfying the rising expectations of supporters and neutrals alike. Ambitious manager Alan Pardew will be relishing the challenge, but doubts remain about the Toon Army's ability to match the mammoth effort of last term. Their transfer activity to date has been low-key meaning Pardew will rely on his star performers from the 2011/12 season, which on face value seems the natural course of action. However, if Newcastle are to establish themselves in the top six they will need to perform better than the teams above them as they collected just six points from a possible 24 in such fixtures last term. Having Papiss Cisse and Hatem Ben Arfa available from the beginning of the season will aid their chances, but the concern is what is available when such key figures are unavailable. The club have invested in promising young talents which as noted above is an admirable policy but leaves a considerable chasm in quality between the first team and reserve squad. It will be a big ask of the likes of Gael Bigirimana and Medhi Abeid to step into the shoes of Yohan Cabaye, should injury hit the influential Frenchman.

Verdict: Matching last season is a big ask of a thin Newcastle squad, but there is no denying that Pardew's first eleven is a match for most teams in the division. Cisse and Ba are both proven goalscorers, though doubts remain about their suitability as a partnership after the latter failed to net in 13 games alongside the £9 million January arrival. 8th

Norwich City

Last season: Premier League 12th Top scorer Grant Holt (15) FA Cup Fifth Round League Cup Second Round

Having enjoyed an seamless transition from League One to the Championship, Norwich enjoyed a similar fate when moving up into the Premier League last term. Much of that was down to the work of manager Paul Lambert, who encouraged his team to stick to their attacking principles despite a perceived lack in quality between the Canaries and their top flight rivals. With Lambert moving on to pastures new, former Newcastle United and Birmingham City head honcho Chris Hughton has been handed the task of ensuring Norwich continue to thrive in the Premier League.




The new man at the helm endeared himself to the Carrow Road faithful by convincing Grant Holt to remain at the club after the striker initially expressed a desire to leave the club in the close season period. Since then, Hughton has set about adding the sort of unknown quantities that his predecessor liked to build his team around, with the likes of Jacob Butterfield being added to a squad made up of players that have cut their trade in the lower divisions. That being said, £3m arrival Robert Snodgrass is a player that has long been mooted for a move to the top flight and presents something of a coup for Norwich. The winger will have no problem slotting into a midfield four that is likely to be anchored by January arrival Jonny Howson, whom he played with at Leeds. Steven Whittaker and Michael Turner will also reinforce the squad defensively.

Verdict: Whilst Hughton is a logical successor to Lambert, given his penchant for attacking football, the reality is that Norwich are likely to find their second season in the top flight a greater struggle than their debut campaign. Their location means that they are unlikely to be able to match their more glamorous divisional rivals for players signatures, meaning that they will once again have to rely on the exploits of their lower league gems. 19th

Queens Park Rangers

Last season: Premier League 17th Top scorer Heidar Helguson (8) FA Cup Fourth Round League Cup Second Round

Loftus Road is rarely the most tranquil of places to work, with last season's Premier League campaign proving to be exceptionally chaotic. The arrival of Tony Fernandes as chairman saw the first team squad swell to an almost unmanageable size, with many of QPR's promotion heroes (in particular the mercurial Adel Taarabt) struggling to adapt to the demands of top flight football. The outspoken Neil Warnock paid for these travails with his job as Mark Hughes was parachuted in to try and salvage a campaign that was threatening to end with a whimper. However, the former Manchester City chief struggled to remedy the R's problems and it took a bout of last day drama before survival could be secured. Since the season's close Hughes has been busy re-shaping his squad, adding Premier League experience in the likes of Andy Johnson, Rob Green and Ryan Nelsen. The signing of Park Ji-Sung is particularly impressive, whilst loanee Fabio da Silva will benefit from regular first team football. Junior Hoilett has also arrived from Blackburn to try and improve a side that struggled for goals last term. A full season from January arrivals Djibril Cisse and Bobby Zamora should put an end to such issues.

Verdict: QPR desperately need stability, with a large squad and an inconsistent line up doing them no favours last year. Hughes is good at organising sides and has signed enough quality this summer to ensure a more comfortable season than last time around. 11th

Reading

Last season: Championship Winners Top scorer Adam Le Fondre (12) FA Cup Third Round League Cup First Round

Brian McDermott is gaining a reputation as a miracle man after he guided the Royals from second-bottom in the Championship after six games to eventual champions by the season's end. He will be hoping to perform similar heroics this season in what is shaping up to be a competitive Premier League. A repeat of Reading's 2006/07 campaign in the top flight would be welcome (they finished 8th), but many within the club will know that survival is a more realistic target.




The investment of Anton Zingarevich, who purchased 51% of the club towards the end of last season, has been welcome as Reading have set about shaping their squad to meet the rigours of Premiership football. Rather than turn towards players with experience of England's top division, McDermott has secured the signings of several of the Championship's leading lights. Chris Gunter and Adrian Mariappa will improve a defence that kept an impressive 20 clean sheets last term (the most in the second tier), whilst Garath McCleary will add creativity to a midfield that perhaps lack dynamism. Much will be expected of Pavel Pogbrenyak, who snubbed a permanent move to Fulham to sign for the Royals, as Reading struggled for a consistent source of goals last term.

Verdict: Hard to say. Reading will be organised under McDermott and have a number of players capable of bridging the gap between the Championship and Premier League. However, the lack of a consistent goalscorer could cost them dearly in the long run. 18th

Southampton

Last season: Championship Runners-up Top scorer Rickie Lambert (27) FA Cup Fourth Round League Cup Fourth Round

Southampton ended an eight year absence from the Premier League last term as Nigel Adkins secured his fourth promotion in six seasons as a manager. Two of those promotions have been enjoyed with the Saints, with last season's second placed finish coming after a similar finish in League One in the 2010/11 season, and the former Scunthorpe gaffer will be hoping to continue this upward trajectory in England's top division.



Southampton are a principled side who like to pass the ball and it is unlikely they will alter their ways in the face of more glamorous opposition, with Adkins breeding positivity and enthusiasm amongst his charges. Unlike the side that pipped them to the title last season (Reading), Southampton have an abundance of goalscorers across the pitch; Rickie Lambert was the Championship's most prolific marksman, Adam Lallana bagged 11 goals from midfield whilst Guly Do Prado (10) and Billy Sharp (9) also made significant contributions in the attacking third. Jay Rodriguez, scorer of 21 goals for Burnley, has signed in a £6 million deal and will add further potency to the south coast side's attack. Steven Davis has signed from Rangers on a free transfer whilst highly rated Nathaniel Clyne has also moved from Crystal Palace.

Verdict: With the best home record in the Championship last term and highest amount of goals scored, the Saints are well positioned to cause a surprise in the Premier League this season. Nigel Adkins is an impressive operator and has been clever in the transfer market this summer, sticking to his principle of acquiring players that match his team's positive playing style. Should stay up. 10th

Stoke City

Last season: Premier League 14th Top scorer Peter Crouch (10) FA Cup QF League Cup Fourth Round Europa League Round of 32

Now in their fifth successive Premier League season, Stoke deserve credit for the way they have adjusted to the demands of life in the top flight. However, last season saw them record their lowest finish since promotion as well as the fewest goals scored (36). Chairman Peter Coates will expect an improvement on those figures, given that his backing has ensured Stoke have had the third-largest net spend in the division since promotion in 2008. Whether manager Tony Pulis can deliver the desired improvement remains to be seen.





Whilst Stoke's style of play wins few plaudits, it has proved effective over the past five seasons as few teams have found an effective antidote to it. The Potters are physical and well organised and have players capable of hurting the opposition both on the break and at set pieces. The Britannia Stadium has also become something of a fortress during their Premier League years, with Pulis's men losing only four times their last term. The problem is that there is no real alternative to this pragmatic approach, with the manager rarely willing to let the shackles of his team. The club are also overly reliant on experienced campaigners, with few young players either signed or promoted from the academy over the past few seasons. Michael Kightly will add some creativity to a midfield starved of it, though his effectiveness over the course of the season is dependent on whether he is able to stay fit. Peter Crouch will again be relied upon for goals, whilst Jonathan Walters will want to build on a strong season last year, when he scored 7 goals.

Verdict: Stoke looked vulnerable at times last season, though the Europa League proved ultimately to be an unwelcome distraction. Pulis will want to improve on last term's finish but may find it difficult having added little quality to his squad over the summer. May be sucked in to a relegation battle but should have enough to survive. 14th

Sunderland

Last season: Premier League 13th Top scorer Nicklas Bendtner (8) FA Cup QF League Cup Second Round

Martin O'Neill's arrival at Sunderland in November coincided with a remarkable run of 26 points in 14 games as the Ulsterman dragged the club away from the Premier League trap door after a poor start under Steve Bruce. Despite a disappointing end to the season, many will expect the Black Cats to kick on this term under the guidance of the former Aston Villa manager. However, things may not be so straightforward on Wearside as O'Neill endures frustration in his attempts to add to his squad. Wolves have knocked back several bids for striker Steven Fletcher, a signing that is seen as crucial given the Mackems paltry return in front of goal in the 2011/12 season (they scored just 45 goals). Louis Saha was on the verge of joining at the time of writing, but the Frenchman's effectiveness is dictated by how many games he manages to stay fit for. That being said, Sunderland still have cause for optimism given the calibre of some of their key performers from last term. Winger James McClean was a revelation under O'Neill, whilst Sebastian Larsson's set-pieces were crucial. Stephane Sessegnon remains the club's key player though, scoring or assisting 36% of their league goals and finishing joint second top-scorer behind the now departed Nicklas Bendtner.

Verdict: Supporters will hope for more but a season of transition appears on the cards for O'Neill's side. As many as 7 players have left over the summer, with only one arrival in the form of the versatile Carlos Cuellar. Fletcher would provide them with the goalscorer they so desperately need, but it's not a foregone conclusion that Wolves demands will be met. 15th

Swansea City

Last season: Premier League 11th Top scorer Danny Graham (12) FA Cup Fourth Round League Cup Second Round

Brendan Rodger's progressive brand of football earned the Swans many plaudits last season and supporters will hope for more of the same under Danish legend Michael Laudrup. Considering much of his playing days were spent in Spain, it's no surprise to see that the new man in charge at the Liberty Stadium has vowed to keep the team's passing style. The challenge for Laudrup will be to get more goals out of his charges this term which will require them to be more decisive when in possession, with 52% of the Swans passes made in their own half last season. It's a concern, then, that 2 of last season's 5 top scorers have moved on in the summer (Glyfi Sigurdsson and Joe Allen) whilst question marks over Scott Sinclar's future remain.

 

Keeping hold of the 23 year old winger will be crucial to Swansea's success this season, such is his effectiveness on the left hand side of a three-man attack that also includes top scorer Danny Graham and the diminutive Nathan Dyer. All three will have to improve on their goal tally from last term though with very little quality available in reserve, though there is still time for Laudrup to change that. Swansea suffered no such trouble in defence, however, as their defence made the transition from Championship to Premier League with ease. Michel Vorm is an excellent goalkeeper who is (crucially) comfortable with the ball at his feet, whilst Ashley Williams is a solid centre half who is also adept at passing the ball. Loanee Steven Caulker may be missed though, as he has returned to parent club Tottenham. Jose Manuel Flores has signed to replace the youngster whilst Jonathan De Guzman and Michu add further quality to a strong Swansea midfield.

Verdict: Many expect Swansea to find their second season as a Premier League club, though the reasons why are unclear. Laudrup is a logical successor to Rodgers and something of a coup for the club and has made two excellent signings in the shape of de Guzman and Michu. Lack of goals may mean they flirt with the drop but they should be tight enough at the back to avoid Second Season Syndrome. 12th

Tottenham Hotspur

Last season: Premier League 4th Top scorer Emmanuel Adebayor (17)  FA Cup SF League Cup Third Round Europa League Group Stage

Harry Redknapp's dismissal in the close season came a surprise to many, yet it was clear that his relationship with chairman Daniel Levy was beyond repair. A distinct lack of investment in January coupled with a loss in form meant that Spurs ended what promised to be their greatest season to date by limping to fourth place, losing out on Champions League football as a result of Chelsea's Champions League triumph. Redknapp's flirtation with the England manager's job probably didn't help his chances of avoiding the axe, and the former Portsmouth manager was replaced in the summer by Andre Villas-Boas. Considering the Portugese tactician's struggles at neighbours Chelsea, many were as surprised by the identity of Redknapp's replacement as they were by the decision to dispense of 'Arry's services.



So what can we expect from Villas-Boas's Tottenham? It's likely that he has already put an end to the old school methods of his predecessor, with training likely to be more intense and a greater emphasis being placed on tactics. A higher defensive line is likely to be implemented, which will suit new recruit Jan Vertonghen who will look to fill the boots of the now retired Ledley King. The midfield may be less than direct last term, with AVB preferring a more methodical, possession-based build up play centred around more energetic players such as summer recruit Gylfi Sigurdsson. The impending departure of Luka Modric will leave a big gap in the centre and a replacement will need to be secured before the transfer window shuts on September 3rd. Big things will be expected of Gareth Bale again, who will hope for a more consistent season after his form dipped towards the end of 2011-12.

Verdict: Last time Spurs turned to the continent for a new manager, things did not go so smoothly. Players struggled to adapt to Juande Ramos' system but Villas-Boas will benefit from his nightmare stint in charge at Chelsea. The new man in charge at White Hart Lane should find his new employer more patient than his paymaster at Stamford Bridge, which will be crucial as 2012-13 seems set to be a year of transition for Spurs. Should contend for the top four. 5th

West Bromwich Albion

Last season: Premier League 10th Top scorer Peter Odemwingie (10) FA Cup Fourth Round League Cup Third Round

The Hawthorns faithful ended the season with mixed emotions as a highest Premier League finish was secured against the backdrop of Roy Hodgson departing the club for the England manager's job. Jeremy Peace's decision to replace the former Fulham chief with Steve Clarke raised many an eyebrow and it's difficult to see how the upcoming season will play out for Albion. Clarke has worked under some of the best coaches in the game-Sir Bobby Robson, Jose Mourinho-but has never been been his own man. He can feel satisfied that he has inherited a plush job at Albion, with a capable playing staff at his disposal as well as the club being in a healthy financial state. However, it's easy to forget where Albion were before they appointed Hodgson.

  

Under Roberto di Matteo, the Baggies had endured a promising start to the 2010/11 season, only for things to quickly turn sour. Hodgson's arrival coincided with an upturn in form as he assembled a team that was functional and more difficult to break down. Clarke's reputation for shoring up defences will be welcome news to Albion fans, but the new man will have to try and find a solution to the team's woeful home form from last term, where they picked up a paltry 21 points from 19 games. You sense that home form could be vital this term, with Albion unlikely to repeat their top ten finish of last term as players seek to get to grips with the demands of the new man in charge. The club have also endured a shift in transfer policy as they move away from signing British based players by signing a string of players from around the globe. Winger Yassine El Ghanassy and striker Markus Rosenberg look shrewd investments, whilst loanee Romelu Lukaku will be keen to rediscover the form that convinced Chelsea to sign him last summer. Meanwhile, the club will be keen to keep hold of technical director Dan Ashworth, who has admirers within the FA.

Verdict: Clarke is a gamble, but you sense it's a calculated one. A glowing reputation as a coach and a penchant for organisation makes the former West Ham assistant suitable to the rigours of Premier League management, but he will have to settle into the job quickly with Albion handed a tough start. May be drawn into a relegation battle but the goals of Peter Odemwingie and the availability of Shane Long for a full season (injuries providing) should mean they have enough to stay up for a third year running. 16th

West Ham United 

Last season: Championship Third Top scorer Carlton Cole (15) FA Cup Third Round League Cup First Round

Sam Allardyce wrestled with dissent in the stands last term to secure an immediate return to the Premier League via the playoffs and will hope his approval rating has risen as a result. The reality is probably to the contrary; if the Hammers struggle, then owners David Gold and David Sullivan will be under pressure to make a change. Having been dismissed cruelly by Blackburn, Allardyce will not fear failure but will be keen to avoid it nonetheless. This season promises to be a crucial one for the Hammers, with survival in the top flight likely to play a decisive role in whether they are awarded the Olympic Stadium as their new home. To ensure that target is achieved Allardyce has been hard at work in the transfer market this summer, signing up to eight players at the time of writing. Jussi Jaaskelainen will provide experience in goal, whilst James Collin has returned to improve a defence that already contains the promising James Tomkins. Of the lesser known acquisitions, Modibo Maiga should provide ample support up front for Carlton Cole and midfielder Alou Diarra should be better equiped for the Premier League than he was during an ill-fated spell at Liverpool under Gerard Houllier.

Verdict: Have been hard at work in the transfer window but the sense of lingering discontent with Allardyce refuses to disperse, with the former Bolton supremo top of many bookie's 'first to be sacked' list. Many of last season's key performers may also struggle to make the adjustment to the top flight...Carlton Cole has never been prolific at this level and 10 goal Ricardo Vaz Te struggled at Bolton. Much will depend on the exploits of their midfield, in particular key men Kevin Nolan and Mark Noble. 20th

Wigan Athletic

Last season: Premier League 15th Top scorer Franco Di Santo (7) FA Cup Third Round League Cup Second Round

Wigan will begin the season as they often do...as favourites for relegation. Though this is their eight consecutive in the top flight, the reasons why are there for all to see. The club operate on a modest budget and are always susceptible to bids for their key performers, as is evidenced by the current transfer saga concerning Victor Moses. However, they have managed to keep hold of the much-admired Roberto Martinez, which will prove crucial in their bid to stave off relegation once again.


The Spaniard has been the subject of interest from several clubs over the past few summers but he continues to operate at the DW Stadium, where he is supported wholeheartedly by outspoken chairman Dave Whelan. This season provides an opportunity for Martinez to justify the hype surrounding him by moving Wigan away from the trapdoor and establishing them as the comfortable mid-table side they finished last season as. He is likely to keep faith with the 3-4-3 formation that served the Latics so well towards the end of last season, though it remains to be seen how effective the system will be over the course of a season. Keeping hold of Moses will be crucial, with the attacker scoring 6 goals from out wide last term. Shaun Maloney will hope to find more consistency after ending last season strongly, whilst Franco Di Santo will want to build on his 7 goal haul. The arrival of Arouna Kone from Levante could prove to be the signing of the summer, with the Ivory Coast striker netting 15 goals in La Liga last term.

Verdict: Finished last season strongly but hard to see a club with such little revenue sustaining such form over a league campaign. Kone should add the goals they lacked last term but the potential departure of Moses will leave them lacking substance. Martinez's loyalty is admirable but you sense he may struggle to build on the survival acts of the last few seasons. 17th


The only certainty in the npower Championship is entertainment and unpredictability and this season's offering looks as difficult to call as ever. Barnsley did well to finish eight points clear of the drop last term and credit must go to manager Keith Hill for sticking to his principles of stylish football. The club's small budget means than another season of struggle is likely to be on the cards, though Jacob Mellis looks to be the sort of signing capable of steering the club away from the trap door. Birmingham City were wise to replace Chris Hughton with Lee Clark as he possesses the same sort of youthful enthusiasm and penchant for attacking football that served the club so well last season. Key performers from last season will benefit from the experience of last season and should be stronger this year as a result whilst the club's excellent home form should make them strong contenders for a top six berth. Blackburn Rovers enter the season under a cloud of uncertainty as big as the one that hung over them for the duration of last year, when they were relegated from the top flight. Unpopular manager Steve Kean remains at the club, as do owners Venky's though both have done well to assemble a squad as strong as any in the division. Danny Murphy is a real coup at this level and if the club can add one or two more options up front then they should be capable of pushing for an automatic promotion position. Blackpool will hope they don't suffer from a play-off final defeat hangover, though boss Ian Holloway is unlikely to afford any slacking. The popular manager has done an excellent job at Bloomfield Road and his side have enough goals in them to match last season's top six finish, though much depends on whether they can keep star duo Matt Phillips and Tom Ince. Bolton Wanderers were agrrieved to be relegated on the final day of the season in cruel circumstances, but Owen Coyle has been hard at work this summer trying to assemble a squad capable of challenging for a top two berth. January signing Marvin Sordell should see more game time at this level than he did in the top flight and is an exciting prospect, whilst keeping Mark Davies means a promotion charge is a realistic ambition. Brighton have the feel of a suprise package this year as Gus Poyet has quietly gone about improving a squad that found the transition from League One comfortable last term. They will need to turn their possession to goals on a more regular basis if they are to trouble the top two though. Bristol City were wise to appoint Derek McInnes in October, but the former St Johnstone man appears to be swimming against the tide at Ashton Gate. A lack of goals and uncertainty over the future of star man Albert Adomah means another relegation scrap is likely. Burnley are somewhat of an unknown quantity under young coach Eddie Howe, with the club finishing last season firmly in mid-table. The Clarets should have enough about them to remain above the drop zone this term but you sense a play-off push may be beyond them.
Cardiff City once again failed to land promotion last season, though Malky Mackay can consider his first term in charge a success after reaching the League Cup final. Star player Peter Whittingham has stayed put and has been joined by Jordon Mutch, Joe Lewis and Craig Bellamy. The latter will be a guaranteed source of goals this year and the Bluebirds look more than capable of competing for an automatic promotion place. Charlton Athletic romped to the League One title under Chris Powell last year, but consolidation will be the aim this season as they return to the second tier after a three year absence. The goals of Bradley Wright-Phillips should keep them away from the bottom three. Crystal Palace are another side that are hard to judge, with their start to last season hinting at a play-off push before they eventually finished 17th. Their performances in the League Cup show they are capable of matching anyone on their day but the departures of Nathaniel Clyne and Darren Ambrose will hurt them. Likely to struggle but possess enough quality in the likes of Wilfried Zaha to ensure survival.
Derby County once again flattered to deceive last year with another season of consolidation under Nigel Clough the end result. The former Burton Albion manager is doing an able job on a small budget but it remains to be seen how much longer he can appease the Pride Park faithful with mid-table finishes, with this season looking to be no different. Huddersfield Town finally secured promotion after several seasons of near-misses and have signalled their intent with the signings of Sean Scannell, Adam Clayton and Joel Lynch as well as keeping hold of 37 goal top scorer Jordan Rhodes. Manager Simon Grayson is proven at this level and should be able to make the Terriers competitive, though a second consecutive promotion is unlikely. Hull City ended last season in turmoil, with Nick Barmby sacked for comments made about the club's finances. However, the appointment of Steve Bruce suggests the club are on the right track again, though a play-off push is unlikely given the lack of a reliable goalscorer.
Ipswich Town endured a poor campaign last year under Paul Jewell and the former Wigan manager will start the season under pressure. The signing of Luke Chambers is shrewd but you sense more will be needed for the Tractor Boys to be able to live up to fan expectation, which suggests a season of consolidation is on the cards. Leeds United have entered an unholy partnership with Neil Warnock in the hope he will be the man to finally deliver them back to the promised land of the Premier League and they are likely to be strong contenders for a play-off spot. The sale of Robert Snodgrass to Norwich will have hurt them though. Leicester City also enter the new season feeling this might be the year they return to the top flight, with the returning Nigel Pearson having assembled a youthful squad capable of being competitive in the upper echelons of the division. Providing the club can find some stability after years of turmoil, a play-off push is a strong possibility.
Middlesbrough started last season excellently but endured a disappointing 2012 and the challenge for manager Tony Mowbray is to ensure a malaise does not set in. Grant Leadbitter is a strong signing and Jonathan Woodgate is as good a defender as any in the division when fit, whilst keeping top scorer Marvin Emnes was crucial. Providing they can find consistency, 'Boro should be also be able to push for promotion. Millwall consolidated last year and will hope to do so again, though a relegation scrap looks on the cards. Much will be expected of Andy Keogh, who bagged an impressive 10 goals in 19 games after signing in January. It's all change at Nottingham Forest with the club now under the ownership of Fawaz Al Hasawi, who appointed the not-so-iconic Sean O'Driscoll as manager after dispensing with Steve Cotterill. The former Doncaster man is an able manager at this level though and will get Forest playing attractive football, though a season of transition looks to be the best he can hope for in his debut campaign.
Peterbrough were relieved to avoid an immediate return to League One last term, with Darren Ferguson earning plaudits for his entertaining brand of football. They finished 10 points clear of the drop in 2011-12 and will be hoping to improve on that this year, though they still look likely to struggle at the end of the table. Sheffield Wednesday secured a return to the second tier after Dave Jones replaced Gary Megson, pipping rivals United to second place. The club has always had massive potential and this season offers an opporunity to tap into it, though Jones is pragmatic enough to know that consolidation will be a success. Watford are another club that have undergone radical change this summer, with the club being bought by the Pozzo family, who also own Udinese. They opted to replace Sean Dyche with fellow Italian Gianfranco Zola, who has since brought in a host of new playing staff. The Hornets have the look of a surprise package but the level of change on and off the field points to a season of transition. Wolves were relegated miserably last year and their pre-season has had the air of a hangover from that traumatic experience, with the club staving off bids for several of its key players. The appointment of Stale Solbakken surprised many but the Norwegian appears keen to implement the sort of changes that have been needed at the club for some time. Providing he can overcome a difficult honeymoon, the Molineux club should be capable of securing a top six finish at the very least.




Bournemouth could be a surprise package but much depends on the antics of their bizarre chairman Eddie Mitchell, who was involved in several high-profile incidents last term. Brentford will hope to build on last season's 9th placed finish, with gaffer Uwe Rosler aiming to trouble the top six. Bury have lost manager Richie Barker to Crawley and look likely to struggle, despite a strong return to this level last year. Carlise United were unlucky to miss out on the play-offs last term and continue to improve under the guidance of Greg Abbott. They could well be outside contenders for an automatic promotion place, though they would just as soon settle for a play-off berth.
Colchester United ended last season badly and boss John Ward will be hoping his side don't carry that form into the new campaign. They have enough pedigree to avoid a relegation scrap though. Coventry City drop into the third tier for the first time in some time and boss Andy Thorn will be desperate to mastermind an immediate return to the Championship. Whilst the Sky Blues have enough quality to finish in the top six, automatic promotion may be a bridge too far for them. Crawley Town have enjoyed successive promotions in the last two seasons and whilst fans will be dreaming of similar success this term, the aim will be to establish themselves at this level. Crewe Alexandra enjoyed a spectacular end to last season and boss Steve Davis deserves much praise for their promotion via the play-offs. As ever the club will look to its academy and striker Max Clayton looks every bit as promising as the now departed Nick Powell. The Railwaymen have the look of a surprise package.
Doncaster Rovers will be keen to move on from a shambolic campaign last year but the departure of Mickey Walker, director of football for the last 12 years, points to another season of uncertainty with boss Dean Saunders still inexperienced in league football. Hartlepool United consolidated last term and will aim to do so again this year, but poor home form could leave them facing a season of struggle. Leyton Orient hold lofty ambitions of securing a ground share with West Ham for the Olympic Stadium, but it's unlikely that such optimism will be felt about matters on the pitch this season. The O's struggled badly last year and manager Russel Slade will begin the season under pressure. MK Dons go into this campaign hotly tipped to finally secure promotion to the Championship and manager Karl Robinson will know that they must improve on the play-off berths of the last few years. Luckily for him, there are few other clear contenders for a top two spot, meaning promotion should not be beyond him.
Notts County were rejuvenated by the appointment of Keith Curle towards the end of the season and will be aiming to trouble the play-offs this year. However, a big turnover of personell on the field might mean it takes time before the Magpies find their rhythm. Oldham Athletic continue to consolidate under Paul Dickov, who admirably continues to preach an ethos of attractive football and endeavour. The poor resources at Boundary Park point to a season of struggle though. Portsmouth are not even ensured a future heading into this term and all there really is to say about the Fratton Park outfit is that one can only whish they are saved from liquidation. Preston North End have undergone a radical overhaul of the playing staff under the extrovert Graham Westley, who is looking to stamp his authority on a club that endured many off-the-pitch fracas last season. If everything clicks quickly, a play off push is more than possible.
Scunthorpe United struggled to readjust to League One football last term but in Alan Knill have a capable manager. The club also run a tight ship financially so should be more than capable of consolidating. Sheffield United suffered a second play-off defeat in three years last season and will hope to avoid such an ordeal this time around, though they will miss the goals of jailed Ched Evans. Stephen Quinn is a great asset at this level though and the Blades should be able to challenge for a top two berth. Shrewsbury Town compete in the third tier for the first time in 15 years and the challenge for experienced manager Graham Turner is to avoid an immediate return to League Two, though that may prove beyond him after he endured a difficult time with Hereford at this level several years ago. Stevenage had an excellent campaign last year and the appointment of Gary Smith from the MLS was one of the more left field appointments of last term. The closely knit unit that took the club to this level has been disrupted over the summer but the team's high-pressing game should be enough to make them play-off contenders once again.
Swindon Town will be the most entertaining team in this division next year, both on and off the pitch. Manager Paolo Di Canio is one in a million and deserves praise for the way he has adjusted to life in the dugout. The Robins have been shrewd in the transfer window and are more than capable of challenging for a consecutive promotion. Tranmere Rovers turned to Ronnie Moore for the third time last term and the experienced manager quickly turned around a poor run of form that saw Les Parry lose his job. Consolidation will be the aim, though Rovers could be sucked into a relegation battle if injuries befall their key players. Walsall have lost a number of key personell over the summer leaving rookie manager Dean Smith desperately trying to assemble a squad capable of being competitive at this level. The club's lack of finances means they are forced to turn to a host of untried players as well as experienced journeymen, all of which points to a season of struggle for the Saddlers. Yeovil Town gladly welcomed back Gary Johnson last season after almost a decade away from the club and his return coincided with an upturn in form. With top scorer Andy Williams moving to Swindon the club will look to non-league gem Sam Foley, who scored 30 goals in two seasons at Newport County. Johnson's experience should keep them afloat by a season of struggle is likely to await the Glovers.




Accrington Stanley struggled to adjust to life without long-serving manager John Coleman last term and Paul Cook will want to improve on a poor away record and a defence that failed to keep a single clean sheet under his guidance last term. Stanley will aim for consolidation but Aldershot Town may be hoping to trouble the play-offs after consecutive mid-table finishes. After finishing just 6 points off the play offs last term, Dean Holdsworth's team will hope for more this season. Barnet are likely to endure another relegation battle this season and may find life difficult under the unproven Mark Robson. Bradford City continue to boast the biggest attendances in League Two but consistently struggle to find an escape route out of the division. Phil Parkinson organised them last year but will have to add more in the attacking areas if they're to tap into their potential.
Bristol Rovers were one of the biggest disappointments of last season after they endured a disastrous start under the guidance of Paul Buckle. Mark McGhee is aiming for promotion in his first full campaign in the hot seat and the Pirates should have enough to secure at least a play-off spot. Burton Albion started last season well but struggled to keep their momentum going, with manager Paul Peschisolido paying with his job. New man Gary Rowett has added several new faces to the team as well as handing opportunities to those who were overlooked last year and will believe the Brewers are capable of consolidating once again. Cheltenham Town are pleased to have hung on to star player Marlon Pack and manager Mark Yates will hope his team enjoy a return to the play-offs rather than to mid-table. Chesterfield endured the perverse experience of lifting silverware last season (the Johnstone's Paint Trophy) whilst also being relegated and manager John Sheridan will be keen to ensure a maliase does not set in. The Spireites should be capable of a promotion push.
Dagenham & Redbridge endured a miserable return to this level last year and will want to improve this time around. If John Still can make his side more consistent then they should avoid the struggles of last year. Exeter City were relegated from League One with a whimper having lost several key players throughout the season. Paul Tisdale's reputation took a bit of a battering as a result and a year of transition may await the suave gaffer. Fleetwood Town romped to the Conference title last season in a similar fashion to Crawley Town before them and they will hope to enjoy a similar level of success to the Red Devils. An unknown quantity to many in the league, Fleetwood are capable of a second promotion. Gillingham's poor end to the season deprived them of a play-off place as manager Andy Hessenthaler was moved into the boardroom at the expense of Martin Allen. With a decent squad in place and excellent knowledge of this division, 'Mad Dog' is capable of leading the Gills to promotion.
Morecambe experienced both ends of the table last season after a strong start was undone by a poor return after Christmas. If gaffer Jim Bentley can coax some consistency out of his charges then a play-off push is not behind his side. Northampton Town had a torrid time under the guidance of Gary Johnson, with replacement Aidy Boothroyd doing just enough to ensure safety. A Capital One Cup scalp of Cardiff suggests the Cobblers will be competitive, but a season of consolidation will be the aim. Oxford United will not have enjoyed rivals Swindon's romp to the title last year and the aim for Chris Wilder's side will be to orchestrate a promotion charge of their own. With James Constable still on board, a play-off place is a distinct possibility. Plymouth Argyle endured a tumultous campaign last year but the appointment of Carl Fletcher united the dressing room as the club punched above it's weight to ensure survival. With the fear of liquidation abetted, a more comfortable season awaits the club.
Port Vale were another side whose off-the-field problems derailed their attempts on it with a 10-point deduction costing the club a potential play-off spot. New owners promise new stability but without Marc Richards Vale might struggle for goals. Rochdale did not enjoy their time in League One, with the appointment of John Coleman unable to turn the tide. An immediate return will be the aim this year but it may prove too ambitious an aspiration. Rotherham United begin life in their New York stadium with high hopes of a promotion charge. They boast a team strong enough to meet that aim and manager Steve Evans, love him or loathe him, is a shrewd operator. Southend United missed out on an automatic promotion spot by one point last term,  despite the financial constraints that dogged the club all season. Paul Sturrock is an able manager and promotion should be achievable this time around.
Torquay United exceeded expectations last season by making the play-offs and manager Martin Ling will hope to enjoy similar success this year. Midfielder Eunan O'Kane will be vital to any push for the play-offs. AFC Wimbledon survived their first season in League Two and will aim to do so again, with striker Jack Midson likely to be their main source of goals again. However, problems at the other end of the field may be their undoing. Wycombe Wanderers promise excitement, with their supporters seeing 153 goals last term. Such drama on the pitch was matched off it as the club battled financial problems, with manager Gary Waddock keen to offer a reprieve for the fans by securing promotion back to League One. York City return to league football after eight years and look more than capable of consolidating at this level, with boss Gary Mills popular amongst supporters.


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So...there we are, all four leagues covered. What do you reckon to my predictions? Prophetic or pathetic? Wise or...erm, not so wise. Get in touch! @benrasmin

 













Thursday, 26 July 2012

Beck To Reality



Team GB kick off their Olympic campaign this evening against Senegal, with supporters of a more hopeful nature confident that success is not beyond us. Considering our first two games have yielded two defeats (to Mexico and Brazil), it's fair to say that such optimism is not likely to be shared by many more than the optimistic minority. Instead, most of us seem more concerned with who isn't participating in the Games rather than the players that have been assigned with securing gold for Great Britain. And no, I'm not talking about Gareth Bale...

David Beckham is a rare breed of footballer, one who is shrouded in so much mythos and adulation that his footballing ability is seldom discussed and on the few occasions when it is it's often the subject of grandiose exaggeration. This is because Beckham, like Bobby Moore before him, has become synonymous with British, or more precisely English, football. This is not to say that Beckham or Moore were never great players, they of course were. But their status amongst supporters across the nation is so firmly established, for a myriad of reasons, that they are rarely spoken of in a rational manner.

Take, for example, the reaction to Beckham's omission from Team GB. Stuart Pearce has felt the chagrin of a nation that had set their hearts on seeing Beckham compete in one last international tournament. They felt that after all his efforts to help us secure the Olympic games-a few handshakes here and there, photos with various delegates and autographs for their children-that 'Goldenballs' should have been the first name on Pearce's squad. Since news of Beckham's exclusion broke, the more technically adept of the disgruntled masses have taken to YouTube, complying dossiers of evidence that Beckham still has what it takes to merit a place in Team GB. Much of this evidence consists of aesthetically pleasing goals scored for his club side LA Galaxy, mainly his 'wonder strike' in Galaxy's 3-1 win over Portland Timbers. Granted, it was an impressive strike...but it was scored against a team that has thus far accumulated 19 points from 20 games and have already shipped 35 goals, leaving them rooted to the bottom of the 'Eastern Conference' of the MLS. If scoring past the Portland Timbers merited a place on Team GB, then their really would be little room for optimism.

Some of you may take this point and suggest that I am merely castigating Beckham for playing in the MLS, which would be wrong. I can't pertain to have agreed with Beckham's decision to leave Real Madrid for the comforts of Los Angeles, but that is not to say that I believe the MLS to be lacking in quality players. Landon Donovan, Rafael Marquez, Thierry Henry, Tim Cahill are just a few names that provide evidence of the strengths of American football. However, most of these players (Donovan) being the exception are in the twilight period of their careers and were without doubt lured to America by fantastic commercial offers. In this instance, they are no different to Beckham...the difference lies in the fact that none of these players (other than Henry) are anywhere near as marketable as Beckham. There was no great need for the former England captain to join America, a move to a more competitive footballing country would have been just as viable as his move to the Galaxy. The reality was that Beckham could no longer physically compete in a major competition, so he (naturally) accepted a lucrative contract in a less competitive league. I don't blame him for that, not one bit. But let's note hide from this reality...

So, if Beckham wasn't up to it five years ago (2007; when he signed for Galaxy) then why would anyone think he is now? Sentiment appears to be the only straightforward answer. And there is a strong case for sentiment, no doubt. Beckham is a fantastic ambassador for British football who always performed his duties as England captain admirably. Away from the pitch, he is a dedicated family man and an excellent businessman. On top of all that, he appears to be a thoroughly nice bloke too. But there's a lot of businessmen, family men and nice blokes in the world. Should they have been considered by Pearce too? Of course not.

I should point out here that I do not dislike Beckham, nor would I have been especially offended had he been picked for Team GB. Olympic football, for me, isn't anything to get overly excited about. It's a chance to see some emerging talents in world football, but even then most of the 'hot tips' for 2012 are already well established names across the world. I will, of course, watch Team GB, if only to see Ryan Giggs finally get the opportunity to play in an international tournament. Giggs is one year Beckham's senior and would probably have liked to have had his former Manchester United colleague around for the Games. But Giggs, unlike Becks, still plays at the top level and was always better than him anyway. That's where reality bites...

@benrasmin

Monday, 2 July 2012

Euro 2012: The Review



'Sometimes in life you need to be able to accept defeat and compliment opponents who were better...We have nothing to complain about. Spain were the better team and we congratulate them.'

Gianluigi Buffon is as classy off the field as he is in between the sticks, and his summary of last night's European Championship final is as accurate as anything I can hope to piece together in this post. There is a time in sporting history when a particular team or athlete emerge who defy description, who possess so much talent that no superlative can do them justice. The Spanish team that last night won their third consecutive tournament final are more than befitting of such status.

In the build up to last night's game, many (myself included) speculated that Cesare Prandelli's Italy team could be capable of an upset. Indeed, some had predicted that Spain would not even make the final of Euro 2012, let alone win it with such candour. Again, this is a crime that I was guilty of committing. However, if there is one certainty that I have established in the aftermath of Spain's latest triumph, it is that I will never doubt them again. They are a special side and are capable of beating any team that is put in their path.

Some of the criticism that was levelled at Vicente Del Bosque's team during the tournament now looks more ridiculous than ever. If this Spain team are boring, then I'd love to see what an exciting team constitute. Last night, they controlled a game that was actually relatively even in terms of possession and chances created. The almost telepathic understanding shared by their players when attacking the opposition gives them an edge over any team they come up against, and this advantage was put to good use against the Italians. Each of the four goals by La Roja were the result of a pass being threaded in between a defence that had conceded only three goals prior to the final, Italy's back four unable to deal with the movement of their counterparts. When discussing the 4-6-0 formation that has been the subject of recent debate, Gianluca Vialli said:

'Spain's striker is the space in front of and behind the defenders'


While it may sound a fairly basic suggestion, Vialli actually came closer than any other analyst has thus far to summarising the formation that Del Bosque pioneered several months ago. In the absence of a recognised centre forward, Spain's midfielders get ample opportunity to expose gaps left by the opposition whilst they are attempting (and often failing) to win possession back. David Silva's opening goal is a perfect example of the effectiveness of Spain's system; Xavi pirouets and finds Iniesta, who then spots Fabregas making a run in behind Chiellini, the ball is threaded in between the latter and his centre half, carried to the byline and then lifted onto the head of the incoming Manchester midfielder, who heads past a stranded Buffon. Xabi Alonso's first goal against France and Fabregas's eqauliser against Italy in the opening group stage game also act as ample proof that the absence of a traditional number ten is more than justified.

The emergence of Jordi Alba at left back has also added another dimension to a team that has at times been criticised for a perceived lack of width. Both Silva and Andres Iniesta like to tuck inside when occupying the wide areas, often meaning that Spain's opponents (Portugal, for example) will look to break in the wide areas when in possession. Alba, however, gives Spain an extra option when the ball is played out wide, with their second goal being demonstrative of the threat offered by Barcelona's latest acquisition. Xavi's ball was delightful, but the real beauty of the strike was the amount of ground covered by Alba to be able to get on the end of the pass and finish the move.

By the time that goal was scored, few were left believing that Italy could find a way back into the game. The worldwide media had been clamouring to heap praise on the majestic Andrea Pirlo in the build up to the final, and Del Bosque clearly took note of the 34 year old's influence in the Italy team. Spain's midfielders were quick to press on the Juventus midfielder whenever he was in possession, and Pirlo subsequently spent much of the first half in his own area, often being forced to play the ball backwards. Ricardo Montolivo and Claudio Marchisio often tried to press ahead of Spain's holding midfielders in the early stages, but this threat was also nullified by the deployment of two holding players to shield the back four when Spain lost the ball. With the supply from the midfield minimal, Italy's centre forward partnership of Antonio Cassano and Mario Balotelli were left isolated up front. Cassano, wonderfully described by Vialli as a 'reliable genius', occasionally managed to get hold of the ball but his partner Balotelli was expertly marshalled by both Sergio Ramos and Gerard Pique, restricting the Milan striker's options when in possession. Put frankly, Italy were shackled.

In many respects that is the beauty of the Spanish team...for all their attacking panache, they are also incredibly disciplined, with every player doing their bit to close the opposition down when not in possession. This is another strength of the 4-6-0, with Fabregas often dropping back to support the defensive efforts of his teammates, which meant that Italy were never able to get in their stride in the opening stages of the game. By the time the third and fourth goals came, Prandelli's side had been pushed to their limit, with the withdrawal of substitute Thiago Motta due to injury not aiding their cause. Leonardo Bonucci and Andrea Barzagli in particular looked exhausted, with may acount for the sloppy nature of their defending for both goals. The loss of the influential Giorgio Chiellini to injury in the early stages also hurt the Italian's chances of shackling their flamboyant opponents. Indeed, the fact that Italy were forced to finish the game with ten men was probably the only blemish on what was otherwise an exceptional end to what has been a thoroughly enjoying tournament.

In the aftermath of Spain's win, much discussion has turned as to whether they are the best international side of all time. Some of the more experienced consumers of the sport will argue that the 1970 Brazil side remain befitting of that title, but the records broken by Xavi, Iniesta and co suggest otherwise. Certainly, they are the best team I have ever had the pleasure of watching and it is hard to see when their dominance will come to an end. Iniesta remains only 28, and whilst Xavi's fitness has been of concern in recent seasons, Spain remain remarkably blessed in the midfield department and in Xabi Alonso possess a player capable of leading the team to further glory in 2014. With Carlos Puyol and David Villa to return from injury, as well as a host of young talent emerging in their domestic league, Spain's paws seem set to remain on football's major international trophies for some time yet.

So with the final now fully digested, it's time for me to turn my attention to Euro 2012 as a whole. Let's begin with my team of the tournament, which I should warn you is more than a little Spain eccentric...


GOALKEEPER

Iker Casillas, Spain: I originally intended to go with Buffon, but the performance of the Spain captain last evening means he just edges ahead of his Italian counterpart. Casillas dealt with a number of crosses from Italy's full backs, including one that was destined for the head of Balotelli, who would have levelled the game had he been able to get a touch. The fact that prior to last night's game Casillas had not conceded in 990 minutes of international knock-out football also ensured his place in my team. A class act.


DEFENCE


Phillip Lahm, Germany: Joachim Low's team ultimately fell short of expectations and are clearly a side that are still developing. Lahm, though, is a player at the peak of his powers and he enjoyed an assured tournament on the right hand side of Germany's defence. His goal against Greece was also befitting of a player that exudes all the true attributes of an international captain.

Gerard Pique, Spain: Considering Pique endured his most difficult season to date at Barcelona last term, his performances for his country were nothing short of revelatory. A rare blend of toughness and composure on the ball, he was particularly crucial in the semi-final tie against Portugal.

Sergio Ramos, Spain: If Pique makes the team, then his centre back partner cannot be excluded. Ramos has often been the subject of criticism from the press both at home and abroad, with many perceiving him to be a dirty player. While he is certainly no saint, the Real Madrid centre half is an exceptional athlete and was crucial in keeping Balotelli quiet in the final.

Jordi Alba, Spain: Fabio Coentrao enjoyed a fine tournament for the Portugese, but Alba's performance in the final earns him a place in the final eleven. Having only made his international debut last October, the former Valencia man has done well to make the left back spot his own and has been crucial in offering Spain another dimension when in possession. His goal against Italy was fantastic.


MIDFIELD


Daniele De Rossi, Italy: De Rossi could quite easily have been selected as a defender in this team, having started the tournamnet as part of a three man defence for the Italians. A true professional, he excelled in both roles and will have done much to revive the libero role after excelling in it himself in the opening group stage game against Spain. Was also crucial when asked to return to his more familiar midfield role later in the tournament.

Andrea Pirlo, Italy: Having been deemed past his best last summer by AC Milan, Andrea Pirlo has enjoyed an Indian summer like no other. Influential in Juventus' unbeaten Serie A season, the playmaker has also been crucial in helping his nation reach the final of Euro 2012. Whilst he was squeezed out of last night's contest, he will still be remembered as one of the truly great midfielders of the twenty first century.

Xabi Alonso, Spain: Alonso's performances for Spain at this tournament have made the decision by Liverpool to sell him in 2009 look even more baffling. With Xavi at times occupying a deeper role for Spain, Alonso has developed into a more offensive threat for the Spanish, evidenced by his brace against France in the quarter-finals. His range of passing remains unmatched by any other player and he also provides a crucial threat in the air, both defensively and when in attack.

Andres Iniesta, Spain: Iniesta is often regarded as being under-rated by some, though this is a sentiment that has always been lost on me. Celebrated for his performances at the last World Cup, which included scoring the winning goal in the final, his stock has only risen higher for his endeavours in Poland and Ukraine. Blessed with incredible vision, both when starting moves and finishing them, he is sure to join his club colleague Xavi in being remembered as one of the finest players of all time. Player of the tournament.

ATTACK

Cesc Fabregas, Spain: There is a compelling argument for the inclusion of Mario Gomez in this attacking line up, but the magnitude of Fabregas' performances for the winners should not be lost on anybody. Asked to play as the most advanced of six midfielders, the former Arsenal captain has enjoyed his best tournament for the Spanish and has also finally managed to establish himself in the starting line up of Del Bosque's team. His movement off the ball were just as crucial as his two goals.  

Mario Balotelli, Italy: Eyebrows may furrow at the inclusion of the controversial Manchester City striker, but there can be no doubt that this was a breakthrough tournament for him. Often derided for his behaviour off the pitch (and sometimes his behaviour on it) Balotelli showed a keeness to work for his team and recovered well from a less than inspiring performance in the opening game against Spain. His goals against Germany in the semi-final also suggested that he may finally have come of age.


SUBSTITUTES


Gianluigi Buffon, Italy: Narrowly pipped by Iker Casillas to a place in the starting eleven, Buffon remains at 34 a crucial component of the Italian team. And he belts out his country's national anthem like nobody else...

Pepe, Portugal: Germany's Mats Hummels would have made the bench were it not for his horror show against Italy, providing everybody's favourite villian Pepe with a chance to make the team. Defended expertly for the Portugese and also scored a vital goal against Denmark in the group stage.

Steven Gerrard, England: Very unlucky not to make the final team, Gerrard led his country admirably and rose comfortably to the challenge of being made captain. One can only wonder why he wasn't given the armband a whole lot sooner. Our best player by some distance.

Xavi, Spain: It seems wrong to put Andres Iniesta in any team without Xavi alongside him, such is the connection between the two players. Xabi Alonso's strikes against France just edge him ahead of the Barcelona maestro for me though. That being said, he remains one of the finest players on the planet.

David Silva, Spain: I've elected for the former because of his opening strike in the final. Also, he has done well to finally establish him in the Spain starting eleven, having often been a bit-part player in recent years.

Cristiano Ronaldo, Portugal: Came closer than ever before to inspiring his team to glory, but was bizarrely asked to take the fifth penalty in the shootout against Spain. Deserved better.

Mario Gomez, Germany: Edges ahead of Mario Mandzukic on the basis of his team's further progression. Has enjoyed a fine season for club and country, though he was poor against Italy.


MANAGER

Cesare Prandelli, Italy: Whilst Vicente Del Bosque proved on Sunday that he is still very much the master when it comes to international football, his opposing number is deserving of greater credit in the short-term context of Euro 2012. He inherited a team that was regarded by many as the worst ever seen by Italians and entered this tournament on the back of a major crisis in the country's domestic leagues. However, the Azzuri defied the odds and reached the final playing a style of football that is far removed from the Italy of old. Their defining moment was the disposing of pre-tournament favourites Germany, courtsey of a brace from Mario Balotelli, who Prandelli has placed his faith in since he took the job, despite the controversy that surrounds the young striker. With Serie A likely to be altered greatly as a result of the current scandal engulfing it, and conscious changes being made at clubs such as Inter Milan to place more emphasis on youth development, the long term future looks emminently brighter for the Italian game than the short term does.

With the more traditional reviews now being done, allow me to turn my attention to a few other 'awards', some which are admittedly more positive than others...

GOAL OF THE TOURNAMENT

1. Zlatan Ibrahimovic v France...Does anybody still think this guy is overrated?!? A strike as good any seen in recent years. Shame it came too late for the Swedes, who never recovered from a stinker against Ukraine in their opening game.

2. Jakub Blaszczykowski v Russia...Poland were one of the big disappointments of the tournament, though perhaps my initial enthusiasm about their prospects was a little misguided, given they were the lowest ranked team at Euro 2012. Still, this wonderful strike from the Borussia Dortmund midfielder gave their fans something to cherish.

3. Andrea Pirlo v Croatia...The only direct free kick scored at the tournament, it provides a fitting summary of Pirlo's class.

4. Andy Carroll v Sweden...Euro 2012 saw the most headed goals scored of any European Championship, and this was without doubt the best of the lot. A fantastic cross from deep by Gerrard was met with aplomb by the Liverpool striker, who was criminally under-used after this match.

5. Mario Balotelli's 2nd v Germany...A fantastic long range pass from Montolivo was controlled expertly by Balotelli, who then finished (and celebrated) in true style.  


BEST GAME(S) OF THE TOURNAMENT


1. Germany 1 Italy 2: The moment when Prandelli's Renaissance methods bore fruition, with Mad Mario repaying the faith shown in him by his manager.

2. Spain 4 Italy 0: Boring, boring Spain? Come off it.

3. England 3 Sweden 2: The archetypal 'England at an international tournament' performance. Go ahead, concede two bizarre goals, and then score two outstanding late strikes to win the match.

4. Denmark 2 Portugal 3: The game where Ronaldo hit everything but the goal...alas, his teammates spared his blushes as Paulo Bento's side triumphed in the face of Danish defiance.

5. Germany 4 Greece 2: Joachim Low's side show glimpses of what could have been whilst also stunning all by allowing Giorgos Samaras to score.


WORST GAME OF THE TOURNAMENT

England 0 Italy 0 (Italy win 4-2 on penalties): Need I say anymore?!? 

WORST PLAYER(S) OF THE TOURNAMENT


1. Kostas Chalkias/Michalis Sifakis: This hapless pair of Greek goalkeepers will be remembered more for their inability to hold the ball than their ability to keep it out of the net. Useless.

2. The entire Republic of Ireland team: Escaping Group C was always going to be a tough ask for Giovanni Trapattoni's men, but to equal the record for most goals conceded in the group stage of the tournament was an unexpected outcome for a team previously regarded for their defensive strength.

3. Aleksandr Kerzhakov: The Russian striker somehow transpired to hit everything but the back of the net, failing to register a shot on target in his country's three group games. Milan Baros ought to be thankful for Kerzhakov's futility, otherwise he'd have definitely made the list.


WORST MANAGER(S) OF THE TOURNAMENT:

1. Bert van Marwijck: The Dutch qualified for the Euros with aplomb, scoring more goals than any other team. However, their manager couldn't seem to resist the allure of his son-in-law Mark van Bommell, allowing him to trudge around the midfield for their first two games whilst their more adventorous opponents duly took advantage.

2. Franciszek Smuda: The Poland manager didn't seem to grasp the concept of the advantage of being a host nation, preferring to play for the draw rather than build on the support offered by the Polish fans. His team duly crashed out at the group stage, conspiring to finish below the less than considerable might of the Czech Republic and Greece.

3. Giovanni Trapattoni: The Ireland manager has a penchant for defensive organisation, and up until now it has served him well. At the Euros, however, Ireland seemed unable to play to their strengths and the conservatism of their Italian leader meant they offered very little variation when in a losing position. The decision to ostrachise James McClean was particularly baffling. 

UNLUCKIEST PLAYER OF THE TOURNAMENT

1. Alan Dzagoev, Russia: At first my sympathy went to the CSKA Moscow schemer because many of our television experts didn't seem to know who he was, despite his considerable reputation throughout European football. But when his country somehow transpired to lose to Greece and subsequently get eliminated at the group stage, denying him the chance to add to the three goals he'd already scored, my sympathy got a whole lot stronger. A real talent who deserved better.

2. Steven Gerrard, England: Was more like his old self as he patrolled a midfield that spent more time chasing the ball than having it at their feet. Spoke frankly of his disappointment after the defeat to Italy, a nation breathed a collective sigh of relief when he declared his intention to play on to the next World Cup.

3. Giorgos Karagounis, Greece: One of few Greek players with any real attacking ability, the midfielder enjoyed a fine game in the decisive victory over Russia. However, a (wrongful) booking meant he missed the quarter final tie against Germany, an outcome that will likely deny him the opportunity of playing in an international knock-out tie again.


BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT OF THE TOURNAMENT

Considering the Irish aren't unfamiliar with failure on the international stage, this booby prize has to go to the Netherlands. Deemed by many as favourites heading into Euro 2012, Bert Van Marwijck's team looked like anything but potential winners. Their defending was atrocious and the egos of some of their more reputable players (step forward Arjen Robben) seemed to us at home to be out of control. Winless in three group games, the Dutch sulked home earlier than expected and the silver fox in the dugout duly resigned. A dishonourable mention should also go to the French, who spectacularly failed to turn up both against Sweden and (more importantly) against Spain.

And finally...

BEST TV COVERAGE


Were it not for Adrian Chiles, Clive Tyldesley and the scary wooden puppets in the opening credits, ITV would be a shoe-in for this. Yet they cannot escape an insatiable thirst for all things stupid and that's probably why a mere 2.3 million elected to watch their coverage compared to the 13.4 million who tuned into Gary Lineker and co. Big Ears for the win...but please, please get Mark Lawrenson out of the commentary booth. Depressing doesn't cover it!

So that concludes my summary of Euro 2012...it's taken me at least two hours, so I hope I haven't missed anything. Feel free, as ever, to give me some feedback either via Facebook or Twitter (@benrasmin) as it's much appreciated. Here's to the most enjoyable international tournament in at least eight years and fingers crossed for a similarly exciting Olympics. Or maybe not...